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Market Outlook 2030 (without and with ASF global impact)






              Simulation model AGMEMOD is used to derive 2030 projections for 2 Scenarios:
                      ●   Baseline (without global impact of ASF)
                      ●   Alternative (with global impact of ASF)

                      ●   More information on AGMEMOD model: https://agmemod.eu/
              A Equilibrium Displacement Model is used to derive pig meat price at the EU border as it is changed due ASF outbreaks in mainly Asia
               (China and other Asian countries)
              Description and Graphs are enclosed in Annex to Chapter 4
              Data source is EUROSTAT which does not include unregistered backyard production




















                                       Meat production  ASF  National potential  Regional potential  Conclusions  References  Contact  Annex 1  Annex 2  Annex 3  Annex 4  42
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