Page 45 - Pig production Romania

Limited effect of global ASF situation on Romanian pig

(meat) prices

The expected impact of the increased world market prices for pig meat is rather limited for Romania compared to countries like the
Netherlands, due to differences in market integration and associated price transmission:

 Netherlands is highly integrated into the world market; this also holds for other member states such as DK, DE, ES, PL
 Romania is a net importer, and due to ASF situation, not allowed to export to typical world market export destinations (like China), and
so poorly integrated into world and EU markets. Additionally, price development is influenced (cushioned) by production and sales of pig
meat of non-industrial producers.
 This results in various lags in the price structure, causing a dampening effect of world market price shocks

Given the limited effect of ASF worldwide on Romanian prices, also the effect on domestic production and consumption will be limited

Meat production ASF National potential Regional potential Conclusions References Contact Annex 1 Annex 2 Annex 3 Annex 4 45